Prime Playbook

February 16, 2025 Volume 115 "Apocalypse Now Edition"

“Knowing” Is Bad For Your Wealth

Another Friday, another bloodbath—except this time, it wasn’t the usual script. Three straight weeks of Friday flushes had traders piling in short, convinced the pattern (aka Trump talking)would repeat. But the market doesn’t hand out free money. Instead, it basically ended up squeezing every stubborn short who ignored the chart, refused to use stops, and thought they "knew" what would happen. READ THE CHART IN FRONT OF YOU!! You can’t guess and win consistently in this game.

So, why didn’t the evil “tariff talk” kill off the markets at the end of last week when Trump talked about them quite a bit? I believe the market has quickly tired of falling for “the boy who cried wolf”, as every press conference or tweet about tariffs has ultimately been followed with an announcement of a “delay on the tariffs”. Even the latest 25% steel tariff doesn’t start until March 12, which is plenty of time to pull this back as well.

Just like in your every day life, talk is cheap. Actions matter. So, I think the market has decided, for now, that it won’t automatically react with a suicide plunge every time the “T” word is mentioned. That doesn’t mean ignore risk!

This week, we are closed tomorrow for Presidents Day, which gives you ample time to study the Stack and set your charts and alerts. We have another week full of earnings, along with FOMC minutes on Wednesday. Fed speak throughout the week, but with Trump going non-stop and the constant onslaught of news, the market has largely ignored the FED as well lately.

As we start head in to this short week, keep in mind it is also OPEX week. Watch VIX while you trade, it’s the simplest measure of volatility you can have, especially on a week like this.

This issue is packed as usual with tons of charts, ideas, and we have been on absolute fire in 2025! Let’s keep it rolling.

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ANOTHER 1,000% WINNER

GS was in the Thursday Stack. The PRIME STYLE pick was the 660c

.31 - 3.43 = 1,006%

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My Charts

Over Green line = Entry for Calls

Under Red line = Entry for Puts

Dotted or Solid Blue line = Price Targets

Purple line = Dark Pool

Blue Boxes = Demand Zones

Red Boxes = Supply Zones

Price targets are not the same as option strikes.

Price targets are where I believe the chart can/will go.

The strikes I suggest are what I think provide the best risk/reward to make money.

Let’s BANK!

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ANF

ANF 0.00%↑ daily bullflag has massive potential. This name could not stop going last year, but it has seen it’s value drop nearly 50% from it’s all time highs last year before bouncing to close out last week. This can be a big mover when it sees volume, so watching that will be key to see if we breakout or reject and head even lower. Here’s my plan for this week.