Prime Playbook

March 30, 2025 Volume 126 "CRAZYTOWN Edition"

The April Fool

Buckle up, because this week is going to pound you in the face, absolutely non-stop! Tomorrow, you will hear all about the “JPM collar” and SPX 5565. I never trade off of random positions, even if it is a quarterly collar of massive size. The goal of the collar is for their fund to not lose money. They do this buy buying and selling SPX. Why does this collar even matter? Because you will hear some say that when the collar rolls tomorrow the market will fly. Again, I don’t trade off random hedge positions and I don’t trade what people “think”.

We stick to charts. The only thing at the end of the day that YOU can judge ON YOUR OWN with YOUR OWN EYES. If the trade isn’t there, we practice patience. You will need it this week.

Tuesday we get manufacturing numbers, along with the JOLTS report.

Wednesday brings us to the latest “Tariff Day” on Donny’s magical calendar(no, it is NOT liberation day in any way). Another day where you have everyone spouting their predetermined opinions. Either the tariffs are “priced in” (this is a bullshit term - the next person that says this, ask them what it means. They won’t be able to tell you) or the market is definitely going to dump.

What do we do? STICK TO THE CHARTS!!

Thursday brings more data, including imports and exports. And that sets us up for Friday, where we get the unemployment numbers followed by Daddy Powell speaking at 11:25 am (AGAIN, you will hear people predicting “emergency rate cut”…PRIME SAYS CHARTS!)

ON TOP of all of that, Trump has spent his Sunday blasting out more ridiculous and inflammatory messaging, including:

He has not ruled out a 3rd term

He will bomb Iran if they don’t agree to nuclear deal

He will not rule out taking Greenland by force

And a whole lot more.

Basically, we are now living in the middle of CRAZYTOWN! This week could be very overwhelming, so make sure you stick to the Stack and we will come out ahead like we do every single time! Don’t forget to set your levels and alerts on the Bonus Picks!!

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My Charts

Over Green line = Entry for Calls

Under Red line = Entry for Puts

Dotted or Solid Blue line = Price Targets

Purple line = Dark Pool

Blue Boxes = Demand Zones

Red Boxes = Supply Zones

Price targets are not the same as option strikes.

Price targets are where I believe the chart can/will go.

The strikes I suggest are what I think provide the best risk/reward to make money.

Let’s BANK!

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TLT

TLT 0.00%↑ in the middle of this 4 hour bull flag. Bonds have traditionally been strong, but with the weakening of world relations and the strength of the dollar, those days may be numbered. We are buying some time on this one, and here is what I’m thinking.