Prime Playbook

March 9, 2025 Volume 121 "Spring Forward Edition"

Times Are Changing

So we “lost” an hour of sleep last night, but the sacrifice is worth the extra daylight. That’s all I have for mundane news.

As for the markets, Trump has created a never ending buzzsaw for investors and day traders alike. The amount of bipolar behavior has many people saying “it’s impossible to trade this,” and if you trade like you did under Biden or Trump 1st term you are absolutely correct - you will get blown up if you don’t adapt.

This should not be a revelation. Your trading should be a constant work in progress. I can give you the setups and ideas, but I can’t click the buttons for you. And right now, holding things for extended time periods is a major risk as a single tweet or comment creates violent market swings. 30 point moves in 3 minutes on SPX is quickly becoming the norm.

So what should you do? STOP, and re-evaluate your approach. If you are struggling right now you should honestly take some days to just watch the market or paper trade it. Start to see when there are opportunities to trade - market open seems to largely be free of Trump for 30 minutes to an hour, and the last hour of the day has prove fruitful as well. You should also be using Opening Range (30 minutes), and you need to have prior day highs and lows, prior week, and monthly highs and lows in my opinion.

The simplest thing you can do is buy time, but that is also going to be costly when VIX is now playing at the 25 level on a daily basis. Good news - you can literally buy 1 contract and make good money off of it when VIX is this elevated. Large cap tickers that have a lot of weight on the indices have largely been primary sell names when the latest Trumpnado starts spinning.

The short version: Don’t be greedy. Scale in and scale out of positions. 30% trades add up super fast if you are consistent! If you want to hold make sure you sell enough to cover your costs first!

This week we will have tariffs, threats of tariffs, revocation of tariffs without a doubt. Do not guess, trade what the market gives as always and really study the stack and the levels that I provide. The days of just showing up at 9:30 and winging it are out the window in this current climate. You will have to put in some work to succeed right now. I am here to give you the cheat codes.

Lots of fun setups to start the week off. Let’s get in, get our money, and go enjoy the nice weather coming this week!

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My Charts

Over Green line = Entry for Calls

Under Red line = Entry for Puts

Dotted or Solid Blue line = Price Targets

Purple line = Dark Pool

Blue Boxes = Demand Zones

Red Boxes = Supply Zones

Price targets are not the same as option strikes.

Price targets are where I believe the chart can/will go.

The strikes I suggest are what I think provide the best risk/reward to make money.

Let’s BANK!

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URI

URI 0.00%↑ daily bull flag with a daily gap 200 points higher. This has spent the bulk of the last 2 weeks basing at the lower trendline. This one won’t be cheap, but remember that 1 con thing I just mentioned…yeah, this is a great name for that! Here’s the plan for this week.