PRIME PICK$
February 15, 2026 Volume 213 "Mattress Mayhem Edition"
Bounce or Trounce
Tomorrow is Presidents’ Day, which means the market’s closed but the picks still dropped tonight like always. Translation: you’ve got a full extra day to actually get your head right before the bell comes back. And you’re going to need it, because this week is not about to suddenly turn friendly just because you got a day off from getting punched in the face.
It’s OPEX week and the AI dream that’s been floating this tape is starting to look real shaky the second flows dry up. Now throw in FOMC minutes on Wednesday and PCE later in the week and you’ve basically got scheduled chaos on deck. At this point if someone farts in the wrong direction this thing can gap you up or gap you down before you’ve even finished your first sip of coffee. That’s the environment. Fast, reactive, and unforgiving if you’re just blind guessing entries.
I’ve been preaching patience nonstop for a reason. Some of you hear it. Some of you hear it and then sprint straight into the open anyway like you’re late for a shift. The market is getting drilled like a discount mattress at a roadside motel and you’re volunteering to be next. Stop treating 9:30 like it’s the only entry that exists. There are rides all day. We keep seeing the same rhythm too. Premarket push into the open, rug pull shortly after. Then once Europe clocks out around 11:30 EST, sometimes you finally get a little air back in the room.
If you insist on playing the open, don’t try to fight the current because you will lose that fight every time. Longer run the market trends up way more often than it trends down, but PRIME has you set for either direction this week as always. The job is patience. Wait for your setup. Take profits when they’re there.
And here’s the part everyone hates: accept the loss when you’re wrong. Because right now the routine for too many of you is racing in at the bell, being red by 10, and then spending the rest of the day clawing just to get back to even. That’s not trading, that’s punishment.
Show up at 10 or 11:30 if you have to. Cool it when the tape is stormy. Eventually we’ll get the bounce, and when we do it’s going to hit like the springs in those President’s Day mattress sales.
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My Charts
Over Green line = Entry for Calls
Under Red line = Entry for Puts
Dash/Dot Blue line = Price Targets
Orange Dash/Dot line = POC (Point Of Control)
Purple line = Dark Pool
Blue Boxes = Demand Zones
Red Boxes = Supply Zones
EMA’s: 9 = orange | 20 = blue | 50 = pink
Price targets are not the same as option strikes.
Price targets are where I believe the chart can/will go.
The strikes I suggest are what I think provide the best risk/reward to make money.
How to read the contract ideas:
weekly contracts | PRIME STYLE weekly (abbreviated PS) | with time.
Sample format: 85c | PS 88c | 12/5 90c
**PRIME STYLE is simply further OTM strikes focused on asymmetric risk**
All suggested contracts are weekly expirations unless dated otherwise
HOOD
HOOD 0.00%↑ weekly broadening megaphone pattern and what we are looking for is a bounce off of the weekly trendline here for a chance to trade calls. If we can’t hold over our closing level on Friday we can trade puts and look for a retest of the trendline for a breakdown enabling continuation of a put trade, or resistance. Here’s the plan.
