PRIME PICK$

July 6, 2025 Volume 152 "Pinball Wizard Edition"

Tilt Mode Activated

The market’s been riding high the last few weeks. Flashing lights, fat gains, and damn near every dip getting bought. But shake the machine too hard, and it locks up. No flippers. No saves. Just a cold, sudden stop.

Welcome to Tilt Mode - PRIME STYLE.

We’re rolling into a critical week where headlines and price action could clash hard:

• Texas is grieving. Catastrophic floods ripped through communities. Families lost everything, including their loved ones. My heart truly aches for them and it reminds you once again how quickly all can be lost. A federal disaster’s been declared, but only 75% of costs are covered by FEMA. The rest falls on broken systems and empty budgets. This isn’t just news, it’s real life. Don’t forget that amid the noise.

• OBBBA (I’m not saying the stupid name!) was signed on July 4th, sparking bullish chatter, but let’s keep it real. The bill passing doesn’t magically fund companies overnight. We’re looking at months of red tape before dollars start flowing into contracts, and then into actual bottom lines.

• The market’s been climbing nearly every day, powered by AI hype, liquidity, and FOMO. But this week might flip the script:

  • Trump’s tariff deadline hits Wednesday

  • FOMC minutes drop the same day

That’s a one-two punch. Tariffs could spook risk-on trades, and we could have “Liberation Day” all over again. The Fed minutes might remind everyone that Powell still has the power to ruin the party.

Add in earnings season ramping up and the potential for a “sell the news” snapback, and suddenly the game isn’t so easy. We could be at the edge of a flipper.

So as we start the week we need hands steady, eyes sharp, and hands on the flippers. The wizard doesn’t chase. He calculates. He waits.

And when the moment’s right, he strikes.

Let’s get to it.

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My Charts

Over Green line = Entry for Calls

Under Red line = Entry for Puts

Dash/Dot Blue line = Price Targets

Orange Dash/Dot line = POC (Point Of Control)

Purple line = Dark Pool

Blue Boxes = Demand Zones

Red Boxes = Supply Zones

Price targets are not the same as option strikes.

Price targets are where I believe the chart can/will go.

The strikes I suggest are what I think provide the best risk/reward to make money.

Let’s BANK!

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UAL

UAL 0.00%↑ weekly consolidating wedge is about as beautiful and symmetric as you get on a chart. Volume was lower last week, but you have to remember when looking at last week’s volume we only had 3.5 trading days, so that difference looks exaggerated if you don’t factor in the loss of trading days. Looking back we see a similar 2 green week setup back in mid-May that was rejected at the trendline. We are back at the trendline, so we look to breakout or reject and head back towards the POC. Here’s the setup for this week.